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Machine learning, markets, and getting software ready for real users. Longer pieces, published when they're ready.
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12x Developer: Using the 1% Compound Rule to Grow 1100%
Forget the generic productivity advice. After years of experimenting with everything from nootropics to hardware timers, here's what actually moved the needle for me – and most of it has nothing to do with code.
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- 05 Nov 2026
Lovable SEO: what still keeps your app out of Google and ChatGPT
Lovable apps can rank on Google and be cited by ChatGPT. Rendering is mostly handled now. What's left is your stack, hosting, domain and the pages buyers read.
- 22 Oct 2026
Based Aphorisms: Nothing More Practical Than a Good Theory
What do Bayes, survivorship bias, Goodhart's law and Amdahl's law have in common? They show why good theories make better everyday decisions.
- 22 Oct 2026
Based Aphorisms 2: The Numbers Can Be Right and You Can Still Be Wrong
Why a 99%-sensitive test can mislead you, why friends seem more popular, and how selection bias turns correct data into wrong conclusions.
- 22 Oct 2026
Based Aphorisms 3: The Average Doesn't Happen to You
Why positive expected returns can shrink wealth, why sunk costs mislead us, and what queueing theory and optimisation say about real decisions.
- 22 Oct 2026
Based Aphorisms 4: The Assumptions Hiding Behind Good Advice
From Occam's razor and the Lindy effect to Chesterton's fence, Hume and Arrow: when good advice works, and where its assumptions fail.
- 22 Oct 2026
Based Aphorisms 5: You Can't Learn What You Never Try
When should you experiment, what can a trial actually teach you, and how much is an answer worth? A practical argument for learning through decisions.
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20202 pieces
- 15 Jul 2020
Are you still diversifying using the Markowitz model? Welcome to the 21st century.
A better alternative to the Markowitz model is Machine Learning and Statistics.
- 14 Jul 2020
How to Export your Jupyter Notebook to Medium in 3 easy steps
A smart button that will allow you to remarket your content straight to a Medium draft.